Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.024800 0.026924 0.029145 0.031641 0.034371 0.037267 0.040575
2025-08-03 0.021102 0.024131 0.027479 0.031461 0.036075 0.041264 0.047555
2025-08-10 0.018986 0.022562 0.026681 0.031789 0.037974 0.045244 0.054472
2025-08-17 0.017065 0.020910 0.025488 0.031362 0.038731 0.047711 0.059545
2025-08-24 0.015494 0.019486 0.024374 0.030831 0.039181 0.049678 0.063973
2025-08-31 0.014314 0.018422 0.023579 0.030570 0.039861 0.051873 0.068720
2025-09-07 0.013326 0.017511 0.022884 0.030341 0.040501 0.053979 0.073401
2025-09-14 0.012502 0.016746 0.022308 0.030196 0.041196 0.056137 0.078222
2025-09-21 0.011703 0.015952 0.021630 0.029844 0.041544 0.057792 0.082385
2025-09-28 0.011142 0.015444 0.021297 0.029928 0.042478 0.060282 0.087852
2025-10-05 0.010551 0.014854 0.020808 0.029746 0.042993 0.062167 0.092503
2025-10-12 0.010114 0.014453 0.020556 0.029877 0.043952 0.064724 0.098288
2025-10-19 0.009696 0.014076 0.020346 0.030101 0.045125 0.067767 0.105187
2025-10-26 0.009180 0.013531 0.019862 0.029888 0.045628 0.069830 0.110713
2025-11-02 0.008845 0.013235 0.019728 0.030193 0.046937 0.073206 0.118567
2025-11-09 0.008359 0.012679 0.019166 0.029788 0.047084 0.074724 0.123426
2025-11-16 0.007889 0.012121 0.018567 0.029285 0.047029 0.075889 0.127737
2025-11-23 0.007515 0.011693 0.018147 0.029038 0.047367 0.077704 0.133261
2025-11-30 0.007175 0.011302 0.017761 0.028822 0.047734 0.079570 0.138974
2025-12-07 0.006876 0.010960 0.017437 0.028685 0.048218 0.081650 0.145191
2025-12-14 0.006558 0.010570 0.017012 0.028351 0.048335 0.083083 0.150298
2025-12-21 0.006342 0.010338 0.016837 0.028432 0.049175 0.085832 0.158027
2025-12-28 0.006091 0.010036 0.016527 0.028259 0.049548 0.087750 0.164289